Last season, the earned the No. 1 seed in the AFC thanks to an efficient offense and a defense that made enough plays when it needed to. It's a formula they have used to much succe s under Mike Vrabel and Tae Davis Jersey one that was more or le s expected to continue this year, especially with back.The , meanwhile, spent a good chunk of last season looking like a potential darkhorse Super Bowl contender before a disastrous end to the season led to them mi sing the playoffs entirely. Indianapolis addre sed what it deemed the main cause of those struggles by trading away and replacing him with .The results have been underwhelming at best so far. Tenne see is 1-2 and Indianapolis is 1-1-1. Both sit behind the in the AFC South, and both have a ma sively important game this weekend... against each other. Here are the stats that will go a long way toward determining Sunday's result.Titans at ColtsWhen the Titans have the ball...It's time for Tenne see to be a little bit more aggre sive on early downs. The Titans have dropped back to pa s on just 37.3 percent of first down plays this year, the third-lowest rate in the league only behind the extremely run-heavy and . That's despite first down statistically being best down to throw so far this season. He looks to work the ball downfield while maintaining strong efficiency. Ryan Tannehill This Season1st DownAll Other DownsYards per attempt9.5<<7.5TD-Int2-01-3Pa ser rating125.2<<67.4Expected points added per dropback+0.36<<-0.03>> Top five in the NFLThe Colts, meanwhile, are allowing the fifth-highest completion percentage and the sixth-highest yards per attempt on opponents' first-down throws.Tannehill should be able to be a bit more aggre sive in this game, too. The Colts have the fourth-worst sack rate (3.7 percent) and the fourth-worst pre sure rate (27.9 percent) in the Deshaun Watson Jersey NFL. Tannehill has taken just 2.24 seconds to throw on average this season, the second-fastest among qualified quarterbacks; only has gotten rid of the ball faster. The Colts have been very good at limiting deep throws -- just 12 completions 10 or more yards down field, tied for fewest in the league -- but Tannehill needs to make something happen considering the time he should be afforded.No Titans offensive preview is complete without discu sing Derrick Henry, who finally got on track last week with 143 scrimmage yards, more than his first two weeks combined. Normally we talk about his rushing chops, but Henry had five receptions -- one behind his career high-- and all five came out of the shotgun. The Colts defense ranks in the bottom half of the league in receptions and receiving yards allowed to running backs out of the shotgun.When the Colts have the ball...The Colts' biggest i sue has been pre sure. They can't apply it on defense, as we just discu sed, and they can't prevent it on offense.Matt Ryan has taken 12 sacks, fourth-most in the league, and Christian Kirksey Jersey has been sacked on 9.3 percent of his dropbacks, the sixth-highest rate in the league.Ryan, never the most elusive player, is taking a sack nearly 32 percent of the time he gets pre sured. Only has been worse.Ryan is producing -0.80 expected points added per dropback when he's pre sured. Only Garoppolo and have been worse.That's the bad news. The good news is that the Titans rank among the bottom dozen in the NFL in pre sure rate, and after sacking five times in Week 1, they have just two sacks over the last two weeks.Ryan's up-and-down start to his time in Indy has largely been due to his tendency to hold onto the ball too long.Matt Ryan Time to Throw This Season2.5 Seconds or FewerMore than 2.5 SecondsTD-Int2-01-4Pa ser rating106.651.1Off-target pct3.6%14.5%There is more good news for Ryan and the Colts. The Titans have surrendered Kenyon Green Jersey a 110.6 pa ser rating on pa ses thrown in 2.5 seconds or le s, seventh-worst in the league. Having a healthy Jr. is a huge help, too. In two games, Pittman Jr.'s 5.5 receptions per game on those quick throws is fourth in the league. Last season, Pittman Jr. had 16 receptions for 154 yards and two touchdowns in two contests against Tenne see, and we should expect another big game for him on Sunday.Like Henry with the Titans' offense, we have to talk about when we discu s the Colts' attack. Taylor only failed to reach 100 scrimmage yards in four of 17 games last year; he's already failed to reach the mark twice in three games this year. But this game could mark a major opportunity for Taylor to get back on track.Taylor is averaging a terrific 5.8 yards per rush on carries around the end (outside of where the tackles block). The Titans, meanwhile, are the worst team in the league at defending that area, allowing 8.0 yards per rush on those carries. Taylor is dangerous from anywhere on the field, but manufacturing touches to get to Derek Stingley Jr. Jersey the edge -- against this defense -- makes him even more so.How to watchDate:Sunday, Oct. 2|Time:1 p.m. ETLocation:Lucas Oil StadiumTV:Fox|Stream:fuboTV ()Follow:Odds:Colts -3.5, O/U 43