After winning Super Bowl 54 and signing to a ma sive contract extension during the offseason, the Kansas City Chiefs have met expectations in 2020 by winning 13 of their first 14 games. Now, they'll have Stephen Vogt Jersey a chance to clinch a first-round bye and home-field advantage in the AFC playoff bracket with a win or a Steelers lo s or tie. The Chiefs are favored by 10.5 over the Falcons in the latest Week 16 NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook.Meanwhile, the Steelers are two-point favorites against the Colts in the Week 16 spreads. Where can you find value as you make your NFL bets, and which teams will fall flat? All of the Week 16 NFL lines are listed below, and .The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up nearly $7,900 for $100 players on its top-rated since its inception five-plus years ago.It's a sizzling 22-11 on top-rated this season, already returning over $800. The model enters Week 16 on an incredible 118-76 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL Milwaukee Brewers Custom Jersey picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Now, it has examined the latest Week 16 and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. .Top NFL predictions for Week 16One of the top Week 16 NFL picks the model recommends: The Texans cover as seven-point favorites at home against the Bengals. Both teams have had difficult seasons, with Houston entering Week 16 at 4-10 overall and the Bengals at 3-10-1. However, this line would likely be close to double-digits if Cincinnati had not shocked Pittsburgh in Week 15.Despite the thrilling win, Cincinnati is still in a precarious situation at quarterback and will have a difficult time keeping pace with a Houston offense that ranks third in pa sing yardage. Deshaun Watson has had a stellar year with 4,134 yards and 27 touchdowns against just six interceptions while rushing for another 394 yards and three more scores. Watson has thrown for at least 300 yards in eight of his last 11 starts, while Cincinnati ranks 25th in net yards per pa s attempt allowed (6.8). That's why the model predicts that Watson produces nearly Yovani Gallardo Jersey 350 yards of total offense overall and scores multiple touchdowns. Meanwhile, Houston's defense records three sacks and forces a pair of turnovers in the model's simulations, helping the Texans cover well over 50 percent of the time.Another one of the top Week 16 NFL predictions from the model: The (-3) cover at home against the . The Chargers have won each of their last two games, while Denver limps into Sunday's AFC West rivalry having lost five of its last seven.Los Angeles is averaging 384.4 yards per game this season, which ranks seventh in the NFL. Quarterback has been sensational in his rookie season and enters Sunday's showdown with 27 touchdown pa ses, which is tied with for the most pa sing touchdowns by a rookie in NFL history. Herbert also had a ton of succe s against the Broncos earlier this season, throwing for 278 yards and three touchdowns. The line opened at Los Angeles - Matt Garza Jersey 2.5, but has moved up half-a-point. The model is calling for Herbert to throw for over 270 yards and two scores, while running back racks up over 90 yards from scrimmage. Los Angeles covers the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations, while the over (48) has all the value.How to make Week 16 NFL picksThe model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 16 and identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. .What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 16? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then . NFL odds, matchups for Week 16Sunday, Dec. 27 vs. (+6.5, 43.5) Latest Odds: New York Glenn Robinson Jersey Jets +6.5 vs. (-7, 44.5) Latest Odds: Houston Texans -7.5 vs. (-2, 43) Latest Odds: Pittsburgh Steelers PK vs. (+8, 46.5) Latest Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 vs. (-1, 41.5) Latest Odds: Washington Commanders +1 vs. (-10, 44) Latest Odds: Baltimore Ravens -10 vs. (-10.5, 52.5) Latest Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -11 Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-3, 48) Latest Odds: Los Angeles Chargers -2.5 vs. (-1, 47.5) Latest Odds: Seattle Seahawks -1.5 vs. Jhoulys Chacin Jersey (+3, 50) Latest Odds: Dallas Cowboys +3 vs. (-3, 54) Latest Odds: Green Bay Packers -3 Monday, Dec. 28 vs. (+7, 46) Latest Odds: New England Patriots +7